I know this will be our favorite bantering topic for the next few years. But for me I’d much rather balance versus all or nothing.
We’ll see what happens with Kim. He’s going to get duds just like Dave did, but it’s pretty hard to find and project what any recruit will turn out to be. I love Koleks story from under recruited to top pg in America and love Millers story too.
All coaches recruit duds. Some guys blow up; others fizzle out. If they didn't, there would be no need for the transfer portal.
Yes, some guys transfer up (Hancock, Miller, Kolek), but I suspect most transfer (or worse) down because they don't get the playing time they thought they deserved (Gaines*), or their previous coach realized "Oops" and recruited over them so they wanted out thinking they are better than they really are, and end up at a 'lower' school.
*I don't know/remember the specifics as to why Gaines transferred to GMU from UT, but I suspect my supposition is a common transfer reason.