Pablo
Hall of Famer
The history of B.S. to be precise.
2015-16 schedule thread
- Thread starter Plink833
- Start date
The history of B.S. to be precise.
A.-Siegfried
Starter
hysterical.
You clearly have an issue with me, so please, to save everyone else, feel free to direct message me any concerns you may have with what I've said that you feel is incorrect. I'll gladly read them.
JBiggs
Starter
http://www.cbssports.com/collegebas...g-of-every-college-basketball-team-from-1-351
CBS Sports ranked all 351 college teams. Here are the rankings of the teams on our schedule, including the A-10. I love the plug for the A-10 as a major basketball conference.
177. George Mason: The Paul Hewitt experiment failed. Now GMU has Dave Paulsen, who got the job done at Bucknell multiple times. Good fit. Expect Mason to be at least 30 spots higher a year from now.
________________________________
34.
Rhode Island: The Rams bring back most of their roster from a top-10 defense last year, including two potential eventual NBA picks in E.C. Matthews and Hassan Martin. They might not be the favorite in the A-10, but they're certainly near the top.
35.
Dayton: The Flyers would be higher if not for the suspension of Dyshawn Pierre, which will keep him out through at least the December. Still, theres a lot to like here, starting with Scoochie Smith and Kendall Pollard.
45.
Davidson: When in doubt, never doubt Davidson. Bob McKillop's team won the Atlantic 10 last season but loses league POY Tyler Kalinoski. Jack Gibbs is back, though, and so is that sweet, fluid offense.
56. vcu: Yeah, anytime you lose a coach who goes only by his first name, it's a problem. But the Rams shouldn't miss a beat stylistically without Shaka, as Will Wade was an assistant there for four years. The real question will be who replaces departed seniors Treveon Graham and Briante Weber, as well as transfer Terry Larrier.
57. George Washington: Mike Lonergan returns basically everyone from a sneaky-good A-10 team last year. Kethan Savage, Kevin Larsen and Pato Garino are a heck of an experienced triumvirate that could lead to an NCAA Tournament bid.
64. Richmond: The Spiders will rely on Terry Allen and ShawnDre' Jones to keep them in the running in the A-10. Losing Kendall Anthony puts a clear void in the picture for now.
68. Ole Miss: Don't know what to expect outside of Stefan Moody but ... Stefan Moody! G-R-E-E-N L-I-G-H-T.
POTENTIAL GAME - 76. Oklahoma State: Travis Ford is on the hot seat this year, and could be gone if they end up finishing this low. They'll need to replace all of Le'Bryan Nash, Anthony Hickey and Michael Cobbins, which will be no easy feat.
83. Northern Iowa: No denying how this team is going to take a big drop. Seth Tuttle was the MVP, but remember last season's 31-4 club also had Deon Mitchell (great player), Nate Buss and Marving Singleton. We like Ben Jacobson's coaching acumen, so that's basically the only reason why UNI isn't sub-100.
86. Saint Joseph's: DeAndre Bembry's talent alone warrant the Hawks a top-90 placement. Expect this team to see improvement from Aaron Brown, too. The offense has to be better. Has to.
93. La Salle: The Explorers lose Jerrell Wright, Steve Zack and Khalid Lewis, but return their best player in Jordan Price and he will likely be an all-league player. Mid-league A-10 team.
105. St. Bonavanture: Mark Schmidt continues to prove his prowess as a coach by keeping the Bonnies competitive in what's one of the hardest spots to recruit to in major-conference basketball. (And yes, the A-10 is a major conference.) Marcus Posley is going to have a great senior season.
131. UMass: Losing Maxie Esho and NBA draft pick Cady Lalanne won't be easy, but the returns of guards Trey Davis, Donte Clark, and Jabarie Hinds should help stem the tide and make the Minutemen a bit more steady.
144. James Madison: And the Dukes could be notably better than 144th. One of our biggest pump-fakes in the rankings. Not totally sure where to slot this team, which won 19 games last season and should hit at least 20 this one.
152. Wright State: Biggie Minnis transferred in from Rhode Island, and will replace Chrishawn Hopkins and Reggie Arceneaux in the backcourt. That, along with a returning backcourt, should make Wright State a tough out in the Horizon.
160. Manhattan: Steve Masiello's group had a strange year last season, going from favorite in the league, to underperformer, to NCAA Tournament appearance. They have to replace both Emmy Andujar and Ashton Pankey, but the backcourt should be solid.
166. Duquesne: Slowly but surely for Jim Ferry in Pittsburgh. Senior Micah Mason is probably going to set national 3-point records.
172. Saint Louis: Jim Crews' team was 298th in KenPom last season. Simply put, we don't think there's any way SLU finishes that poorly again with him as coach.
185. Pennsylvania: Steve Donahue is the hire that has a lot of people at Penn believing the Quakers will rightfully rule the Ivy League again in about three years.
201. Longwood: Going to be much improved. We've boosted them more than 100 spots from where the Lancers finished last season. The group only loses one player of importance.
217. Towson: Pat Skerry's probably going through a two-year dip here. Give the Tigers a year to strengthen the roster. It could be a top-four team in the CAA a year from now.
228. Mercer: The Bears figured to have most of their roster back, but then their best player, Ike Nwamu decided to transfer to UNLV. Without him, Bob Hoffman will rely heavily on an experienced backcourt of seniors.
281. Wagner: The Seahawks will probably be better, but doing that is going to be very interesting because Marcus Burton is gone. He was a do-it-all guy for Bashir Mason's program.
291. Colgate: Good staff working up at the C'gate, but the team loses so much production from last year's team. There will be a vicious drop
303. Fordham: The Rams are starting over; the school hired Jeff Neubauer away from Eastern Kentucky. Some have questioned the fit, but it came after Robert Morris' Andy Toole turned the job down.
CBS Sports ranked all 351 college teams. Here are the rankings of the teams on our schedule, including the A-10. I love the plug for the A-10 as a major basketball conference.
177. George Mason: The Paul Hewitt experiment failed. Now GMU has Dave Paulsen, who got the job done at Bucknell multiple times. Good fit. Expect Mason to be at least 30 spots higher a year from now.
________________________________
34.
35.
45.
56. vcu: Yeah, anytime you lose a coach who goes only by his first name, it's a problem. But the Rams shouldn't miss a beat stylistically without Shaka, as Will Wade was an assistant there for four years. The real question will be who replaces departed seniors Treveon Graham and Briante Weber, as well as transfer Terry Larrier.
57. George Washington: Mike Lonergan returns basically everyone from a sneaky-good A-10 team last year. Kethan Savage, Kevin Larsen and Pato Garino are a heck of an experienced triumvirate that could lead to an NCAA Tournament bid.
64. Richmond: The Spiders will rely on Terry Allen and ShawnDre' Jones to keep them in the running in the A-10. Losing Kendall Anthony puts a clear void in the picture for now.
68. Ole Miss: Don't know what to expect outside of Stefan Moody but ... Stefan Moody! G-R-E-E-N L-I-G-H-T.
POTENTIAL GAME - 76. Oklahoma State: Travis Ford is on the hot seat this year, and could be gone if they end up finishing this low. They'll need to replace all of Le'Bryan Nash, Anthony Hickey and Michael Cobbins, which will be no easy feat.
83. Northern Iowa: No denying how this team is going to take a big drop. Seth Tuttle was the MVP, but remember last season's 31-4 club also had Deon Mitchell (great player), Nate Buss and Marving Singleton. We like Ben Jacobson's coaching acumen, so that's basically the only reason why UNI isn't sub-100.
86. Saint Joseph's: DeAndre Bembry's talent alone warrant the Hawks a top-90 placement. Expect this team to see improvement from Aaron Brown, too. The offense has to be better. Has to.
93. La Salle: The Explorers lose Jerrell Wright, Steve Zack and Khalid Lewis, but return their best player in Jordan Price and he will likely be an all-league player. Mid-league A-10 team.
105. St. Bonavanture: Mark Schmidt continues to prove his prowess as a coach by keeping the Bonnies competitive in what's one of the hardest spots to recruit to in major-conference basketball. (And yes, the A-10 is a major conference.) Marcus Posley is going to have a great senior season.
131. UMass: Losing Maxie Esho and NBA draft pick Cady Lalanne won't be easy, but the returns of guards Trey Davis, Donte Clark, and Jabarie Hinds should help stem the tide and make the Minutemen a bit more steady.
144. James Madison: And the Dukes could be notably better than 144th. One of our biggest pump-fakes in the rankings. Not totally sure where to slot this team, which won 19 games last season and should hit at least 20 this one.
152. Wright State: Biggie Minnis transferred in from Rhode Island, and will replace Chrishawn Hopkins and Reggie Arceneaux in the backcourt. That, along with a returning backcourt, should make Wright State a tough out in the Horizon.
160. Manhattan: Steve Masiello's group had a strange year last season, going from favorite in the league, to underperformer, to NCAA Tournament appearance. They have to replace both Emmy Andujar and Ashton Pankey, but the backcourt should be solid.
166. Duquesne: Slowly but surely for Jim Ferry in Pittsburgh. Senior Micah Mason is probably going to set national 3-point records.
172. Saint Louis: Jim Crews' team was 298th in KenPom last season. Simply put, we don't think there's any way SLU finishes that poorly again with him as coach.
185. Pennsylvania: Steve Donahue is the hire that has a lot of people at Penn believing the Quakers will rightfully rule the Ivy League again in about three years.
201. Longwood: Going to be much improved. We've boosted them more than 100 spots from where the Lancers finished last season. The group only loses one player of importance.
217. Towson: Pat Skerry's probably going through a two-year dip here. Give the Tigers a year to strengthen the roster. It could be a top-four team in the CAA a year from now.
228. Mercer: The Bears figured to have most of their roster back, but then their best player, Ike Nwamu decided to transfer to UNLV. Without him, Bob Hoffman will rely heavily on an experienced backcourt of seniors.
281. Wagner: The Seahawks will probably be better, but doing that is going to be very interesting because Marcus Burton is gone. He was a do-it-all guy for Bashir Mason's program.
291. Colgate: Good staff working up at the C'gate, but the team loses so much production from last year's team. There will be a vicious drop
303. Fordham: The Rams are starting over; the school hired Jeff Neubauer away from Eastern Kentucky. Some have questioned the fit, but it came after Robert Morris' Andy Toole turned the job down.
Washingtonian
Hall of Famer
Pablo
Hall of Famer
Ryan Kish @gmuhoops 5h5 hours agoOOC opponents KenPom: 280-Colgate 216-Mercer 68-Miss 209-Manhattan 127-Wright St 194-Towson 224-Penn 59-UNI 118-JMU 255-Longwood 256-Wagner
OOC opponents KenPom: 280-Colgate 216-Mercer 68-Miss 209-Manhattan 127-Wright St 194-Towson 224-Penn 59-UNI 118-JMU 255-Longwood 256-Wagner
With Mason at #158.
But just a stab, given that no games have been played yet.
TwoFootTackle
Specialist
kenpom projected record for Mason: 12-17, 6-12 conference. That seems reasonable.
A.-Siegfried
Starter
6-5 OOC record. I think we do better than that.
TwoFootTackle
Specialist
Talent-wise, I don't think you're wrong, but it remains to be seen how fast the freshman and veterans pick up Paulsen's system. There could be some early losses before they get it and start clicking.
Pablo
Hall of Famer
The Patriots will play a minimum of 32 games including 13 OOC games, 18 conference games, and at least 1 A10 tourney game.
I'm thinking that kenpom wouldn't make predictions about games when you don't know who the specific opponent will be---i.e. Charleston Classic games beyond the first one and the first A10 tourney game.
A.-Siegfried
Starter
I'll go with 9-4 or 8-5 in OOC play, not knowing 2 of the games at the Classic.
I'll go 8-10 or 7-11 in conference play. I'm thinking a high of 17 wins, but more likely 14 or 15 wins.
I'll go 8-10 or 7-11 in conference play. I'm thinking a high of 17 wins, but more likely 14 or 15 wins.
I agree.
WINS: Colgate, @Mercer, Towson (in Charleston), Wright State, @Towson, Penn, Longwood, Wagner
LOSSES: Ole Miss, TBA (in Charleston), Northern Iowa
TOSS-UPS: @Manhattan, @JMU
I'll give us a split in the toss-up games for a total of 9-4.
Not unrealistic given how weak this schedule is.
14-15 wins seems like a goal that can be reached. 17 would be exceeding expectations but given how weak the OOC is and we catch a few lucky breaks in conference play, I wouldn't count it out.
masonjoe
Starter
That's just not gonna happen with this young group.
For the geeks who want more detail on the basis for kenpom pre-season rankings, it is based on regressions over the last 9 years:
http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/entry/2016_preseason_ratings
It's not that young. We will probably have 3 freshman rotation players and then 3 seniors and 2 juniors, which isn't too bad. (Next season is a whole other story).
The big question is how fast can the upperclassman get up to speed and is there an Isaiah Jackson types guard among the freshman (remember how many people questioned his ability to be a D1 player before the beginning of last season).
Pablo
Hall of Famer
I'm expecting all 4 freshmen perimeter players to be in the rotation.
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Patriot Brew Blog/Newsletter