2024-2025 At Large Resume watch

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MasonSAE4

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Need Dayton to take care of business in Chicago tonight to keep our lone Q1 victory intact.

Still going to need to beat vcu either in Richmond or DC to go dancing but this is fun just to be in the conversation again.
Hot take, I think I'd rather have Loyola on the 4 line if we end up on 1.
 

GMUMiked

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Hot take, I think I'd rather have Loyola on the 4 line if we end up on 1.
I'd probably agree with you, I was thinking strictly about the at-large implications. Although if we're the 1 seed that would most likely mean we beat vcu and might only need 1 win in DC to get in the tourney.
 

GMU1983

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psyclone

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If the Lunardi Bracketology is to be believed, Mason is now the first team out (see post # 264). Clearly on the bubble and no time to kill the thread. We may need some help with having the "last 4 teams in" lose some games they shouldn't and we need to win our remaining regular season games as well as win a couple of A10 tournament games. But we shouldn't lose all hope at this point.

Naturally, if we take the A10 tournament, then we become a "bid stealer"
 

Walter

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Half of the 24 brackets on Bracket Matrix who updated this morning still have us in. The other ones probably have us as a bubble team.
 

mkaufman1

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All Mason can control is how they do the next 4 games. Win 1 at a time, make strong showings and play your best basketball against teams in the bottom of the A10.

Win the next 4, you have 25 wins. Win a game at the A10 tournament, you have 26 wins.

If you are in the 24-26 win range, its going to be hard to not be in conversations for a spot (even if you are the last 4 "in"). One slipup doesn't derail your body of work (especially against a good team), but if we dont' handle business well against the bottom of the A10, that is what will kill us.

Correct things and come out playing your best basketball the next 2 weeks, and the cards will fall appropriately.
 

psyclone

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All Mason can control is how they do the next 4 games. Win 1 at a time, make strong showings and play your best basketball against teams in the bottom of the A10.

Win the next 4, you have 25 wins. Win a game at the A10 tournament, you have 26 wins.

If you are in the 24-26 win range, its going to be hard to not be in conversations for a spot (even if you are the last 4 "in"). One slipup doesn't derail your body of work (especially against a good team), but if we dont' handle business well against the bottom of the A10, that is what will kill us.

Correct things and come out playing your best basketball the next 2 weeks, and the cards will fall appropriately.
Just look to last year's A10. Duquesne lost at Fordham to go 6-8 in conference and then proceeded to win their last 4 regular season game. Won the A10 tournament as a #6 seed and then a first round game in the NCAAs. No reason we can't do the same.
 

jruby

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All Mason can control is how they do the next 4 games. Win 1 at a time, make strong showings and play your best basketball against teams in the bottom of the A10.

Win the next 4, you have 25 wins. Win a game at the A10 tournament, you have 26 wins.

If you are in the 24-26 win range, its going to be hard to not be in conversations for a spot (even if you are the last 4 "in"). One slipup doesn't derail your body of work (especially against a good team), but if we dont' handle business well against the bottom of the A10, that is what will kill us.

Correct things and come out playing your best basketball the next 2 weeks, and the cards will fall appropriately.
Problem is you can’t get in without a quad 1 win. Being in high 60’s to low 70’s for the net with no quad 1’s is almost impossible. Anyone other than vcu wins in DC they are 100% out as there’s no way they give A10 more than 2. It’s a new world, if Tony stays they are going to have to learn how to play the system it’s more than just winning now.

Need to schedule differently and win in blowouts. They are also fighting history.

I don’t think the last 4 games have much effect on DC at all. Either they show up and play out of their minds in dc or they don’t.
 
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psyclone

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Problem is you can’t get in without a quad 1 win. Being in high 60’s to low 70’s for the net with no quad 1’s is almost impossible. Anyone other than vcu wins in DC they are 100% out as there’s no way they give A10 more than 2. It’s a new world, if Tony stays they are going to have to learn how to play the system it’s more than just winning now.

Need to schedule differently and win in blowouts. They are also fighting history.

I don’t think the last 4 games have much effect on DC at all. Either they show up and play out of their minds in dc or they don’t.
You need to build up some momentum going into the A10 tournament. Note what Duquesne did last year. It's important to show you can absorb the vcu defeat and get up off of the floor once you've been knocked down. Win your last few games and regain your self-confidence.
 

mkaufman1

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Problem is you can’t get in without a quad 1 win. Being in high 60’s to low 70’s for the net with no quad 1’s is almost impossible. Anyone other than vcu wins in DC they are 100% out as there’s no way they give A10 more than 2. It’s a new world, if Tony stays they are going to have to learn how to play the system it’s more than just winning now.

Need to schedule differently and win in blowouts. They are also fighting history.

I don’t think the last 4 games have much effect on DC at all. Either they show up and play out of their minds in dc or they don’t.
Fully aware of how the system works and never did I say that 25 or 26 wins will get us an at large spot. I said it will get us into conversations.

In addition, Mason needs to beat the bad teams (Richmond Lasalle and Fordham especially) by large amounts to help reward themselves in the NET. Winning by 2 or 3 in overtime won't do anything and most likely would only hurt us.

Right now that is what is in front of Mason and what they specifically can control. Even winning those games by large amounts may not be enough. I'm going to try to stay optimistic and realistic as much as possible.
 
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