Current standings:
1. vcu - 14- 2 (clinches 1st with one more win or Davidson loss)
2. Davidson - 12 - 4 (owns tiebreaker over vcu and us)
3. Dayton - 11 - 5 (we own tiebreaker/they have tiebreaker over Davidson)
4. Saint Bonaventure - 11-5 (we split, our head to head tiebreaker with win over Dayton is tenuous)
5. Duquesne - 10 - 6 (they own tiebreaker over us)
6. MASON - 10 - 6
7. St. Louis - 9 - 7
We can finish no higher than 3rd or lower than 7th. If we win out, then we likely only need 2 of Dayton, Duquesne, or SBU to lose one more game each to get back in top 4.
There is a guaranteed loss for Dayton or Duquesne, due to their head to head matchup. IF IF IF we can beat vcu and not poo the bed against GW, we would just need one more loss from SBU or the winner of the Dayton/Duquesne game. Win against vcu clinches head to head tiebreaker over SBU.
If we lose to vcu (or GW for that matter), we can not jump both Duquesne and SBU, without being jumped by SLU, since SLU plays both. With a loss to vcu (or GW for that matter), we need Dayton and SBU to lose both remaining games to still have a shot at top 4.
Lots of games remaining with top 7 teams against each other. Gonna be a crazy finish.
Remaining games:
vcu: @ MASON, Saint Joe's
Dayton: LaSalle, @ Duquesne
Davidson: SBU, @ Richmond
Mason: vcu, @ GW
SBU: @ Davidson, St. Louis
Duquesne: @ SLU, @ Dayton
Saint Louis: Duquesne, @ SBU
What we need from this week's games:
Tuesday: BEAT vcu
Wednesday:
La Salle win @ Dayton, SBU lose @
Davidson, Duquesne lose @
SLU
Best case scenario - we jump to 3rd.
A10 bracket:
View attachment 713
http://www.atlantic10.com/ViewArticle.dbml?DB_OEM_ID=31600&ATCLID=209901106