2024-2025 At Large Resume watch

[mkaufman1]

Hot take: jinxes don’t exist

I believe they don’t exist, or try to at least.

But I also don’t want to open up something that some could consider it as bad juju.

Right now we really aren’t in an at large conversation anyway.

 

[GMU79]

I believe they don’t wxist, or try to at least.

But I also don’t want to open up something that some could consider it as bad juju.

Right now we really aren’t in an at large conversation anyway.

Here we are, top of the 9th and X has a no hitter going.
X is an 88% free throw shooter, and has hit 15 straight. All he has to do is hit the front end of this one and one.
X hasn't missed a field goal from inside 40 all year.
Just sayin'

 

[hoopsjunkie75]

I believe they don’t exist, or try to at least.

But I also don’t want to open up something that some could consider it as bad juju.

Right now we really aren’t in an at large conversation anyway.

T H I S ! ! !

 

[Verdad]

Request for OP to update the title year.

OH YEAH!!!!! IVE NEVER FELT SUCH POWER!!!!!!!!!

 

[Falco]

Based on last year’s NIT bracket, A-10 teams selected had NET rankings in the high 80s, and they still made it in. So, in theory, Mason—currently in the 60s or 70s in NET—would certainly be a strong candidate for an invitation. Obviously, this is all based on the consultation bracket, but considering Mason hasn’t sniffed the NIT in 15 years, it would be a significant achievement, though bittersweet.

 

[NewPatriot]

This thread is wayy too early to start picking out drapes for the new house.

Mason is 8-1 but there a nine games left with the toughest part of the road schedule around the corner: @GW, @ St. Louis, @vcu AND the team is playing some of it's worst offensive basketball of the season.

The Patriots were incredibly fortunate to win the last 2 games against 2 of the worst teams in the league because the team's end of game offensive basketball IQ has been below 80.

If Mason plays like this the rest of the season it's gonna end up with a #7 seed.

So please let's just take one game at a time.

 

[Leesburg Chankenstank III]

This thread is wayy too early to start picking out drapes for the new house.

Mason is 8-1 but there a nine games left with the toughest part of the road schedule around the corner: @GW, @ St. Louis, @vcu AND the team is playing some of it's worst offensive basketball of the season.

The Patriots were incredibly fortunate to win the last 2 games against 2 of the worst teams in the league because the team's end of game offensive basketball IQ has been below 80.

If Mason plays like this the rest of the season it's gonna end up with a #7 seed.

So please let's just take one game at a time.

No. National Championship is a done deal for Mason this year.

All you have to worry about is getting tickets to the final 4 and creating excruciatingly creative taunts towards vcu.

In fact this may be the best team in the history of basketball. Not just college basketball. BASKETBALL

 

[NewPatriot]

No. National Championship is a done deal for Mason this year.

All you have to worry about is getting tickets to the final 4 and creating excruciatingly creative taunts towards vcu.

In fact this may be the best team in the history of basketball.

Okay...I cry Uncle..I know when I'm beat.

 

[Walter]

Receiving votes in the AP Top 25. 3 to be exact.

 

[MasonSAE4]

I'd be curious to see where we would be landing if vcu was currently ahead of us. They currently get mentioned in the "first four out" section of a lot of brackets, all of which have us in as the current AQ which obviously may or may not happen.

 

[emjayar08]

NET rankings suck.

Give me one reason why Mcneese St should be higher ranked than us while having one more loss.

Call me old fashioned, but I’m sticking to my old friend, RPI ranking, that is putting us at #42.

https://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/rpi/

 

[undertherock]

This isn't a thing after losing to Central Michigan at home...

 

[gmutom]

I'd be curious to see where we would be landing if vcu was currently ahead of us. They currently get mentioned in the "first four out" section of a lot of brackets, all of which have us in as the current AQ which obviously may or may not happen.

Current standings aside, the unbiased part of me says vcu is the best team in the conference until we prove otherwise. We have an upcoming game against them to settle it on the court, so let's defend our spot at the top and erase all doubt.

 

[emjayar08]

This isn't a thing after losing to Central Michigan at home...

You think the MAC is clearly worse than the Southland Conference? I’ve never even heard of most of those teams.

 

[Old Ram]

Current standings aside, the unbiased part of me says vcu is the best team in the conference until we prove otherwise. We have two upcoming games against them to settle it on the court, so let's defend our spot at the top and erase all doubt.

One upcoming game against them.

 

[gmutom]

One upcoming game against them.

My bad. I’m so used to the home-and-home with them. I edited my original post.

 

[phoenix-arizona]

I'll take an NIT bid!

 

[psyclone]

You think the MAC is clearly worse than the Southland Conference? I’ve never even heard of most of those teams.

Kenpom:

#22 Southland -6.21
#23 MAC -6.27

 

[NewPatriot]

NET rankings suck.

Give me one reason why Mcneese St should be higher ranked than us while having one more loss.

Call me old fashioned, but I’m sticking to my old friend, RPI ranking, that is putting us at #42.

https://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/rpi/

Mcneese has a better kenpom offensive efficiency rating..ranked 75th while Mason is around 190.

They've routine beating opponents by double digits while every Mason game is close.

They have played several power conference teams and have not been blown out.

 

[GMU1983]

Low Mid-Majors​

Work to do​

vcu Rams (58%)



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vcu is the favorite to win the Atlantic 10 tournament (at 41%), but the conference has hovered between one to two NCAA berths in recent seasons. Because the Rams only rank 60th in SOR, they're no sure thing to make it in without an auto-bid; ESPN's model only gives them a 30% shot at an at-large bid conditional on not winning their conference tourney, in part because they are just 2-2 vs. Top 100 opponents. (Updated Feb. 3 at 2:18 p.m.)
Next game: Tuesday vs. La Salle, 7 p.m. (CBSSN)

Liberty Flames (42%)

Liberty is here because of its 40% probability of winning the Conference USA tournament championship, which are good odds relative to other teams that are on the bubble. But let's be clear: If the Flames fail to win the conference, there is very little chance they would make it as an at-large team. According to the ESPN Analytics model, they only have a 1.4% chance to make the NCAA tourney conditional on not grabbing an automatic bid. (Updated Feb. 3 at 4:30 p.m.)
Next game: Thursday vs. Louisiana Tech, 8 p.m. (CBSSN)

Drake Bulldogs (35%)

The Missouri Valley has gotten only one NCAA bid six times in the past seven tournaments, so most likely the conference tournament will determine the fate of Drake, Bradley and the rest of the MVC. However, it's still worth at least keeping an eye on the Bulldogs, as their 20-2 record has them ranked around Top 40 in both SOR and Wins Above Bubble despite playing the nation's 178th-toughest schedule. (Updated Feb. 3 at 4:18 p.m.)
Next game: Tuesday at Murray State, 7 p.m. (ESPN2/ESPN+)

Bradley Braves (34%)


Bradley has been an appealing mid-major all season, with the potential to make what would be the program's second NCAA tournament appearance since 2006. But a couple of bad recent losses have left the Braves' chances very much in flux. Most models -- including the ESPN forecast -- list Bradley's tourney probability in the 20-40% range, though most of that comes from the prospect of winning the MVC tournament. Their No. 73 ranking in SOR is outside where we'd expect an at-large tourney team to be, though a win against Drake on Feb. 16 would bolster their résumé. (Updated Feb. 3 at 4:34 p.m.)
Next game: Wednesday vs. Belmont, 9 p.m. (ESPN+)

George Mason Patriots (26%)

While George Mason and Dayton have very similar odds in the BPI forecast model, the models tend to favor the Patriots because of their superior metrics like SOR and Wins Above Bubble. The Patriots were listed in 42% of BracketMatrix's most recent entries, though they only have one real résumé-boosting game remaining (at vcu on Feb. 22). (Updated Feb. 3 at 4:10 p.m.)
Next game: Wednesday at George Washington, 7 p.m. (ESPN+)

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Outside looking in​

Dayton Flyers (22%), Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (14%), Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (12%), Saint Joseph's Hawks (