Couple of thoughts on this:
1. No way Paulsens contract has any stipulations on no games not counting towards his contract. The way these contracts are written are just like any other employment contract, he’s employed at Mason athletics through 1 April of his contract year. That’s it. Like sleeper said, it’s not like he’s not getting paid right now. He didn’t give money back after the A10 tourney got canceled.
2. For everyone talking finances, have we thought that it doesn’t necessarily have to cost us more money to move on? Paulsen’s base is 400 per year, his buyout is 200. If he gets that as a lump sum then someone needs to give me his agents number because he’s a wizard. Most of this money gets spread over 5-10 years, ala Hewitt getting paid by GT after we fired him. I’m telling you, Tony Skinn (or someone in his mood, young assistant) doesn’t cost what Paulsen costs. Paulsens total compensation before performance incentives is 750k. Skinn (or a young high major assistant) isn’t commanding 750k for his first job. I see a lot of scenarios where we break even on the money side spreading the payout and bringing in a cheaper HC.
3. Does anyone have an example of a lame duck coach working out for the program? We’ve seen it happen multiple times where it blows up in the programs face, I can’t think of a single example of it working out long term. This absolutely can not be an option for a program playing in the A10. That’s some Southland conference BS.
To point #3 - it is a pretty impossible thing to research.
"Working out for the long term" could just mean not extending the wrong coach. So does that mean you'd have to just look for coaches that finished out their final year of a contract with a bad record? I'm sure you'd argue that the coach should've just been fired the season before in that case. But thats the point, the school didn't feel like they could fire or extend that coach earlier (whether due to finances, mediocrity, or whatever). Does that mean you'd have to find an example where the next coach did better? At what point is that a failure of the next hire that isn't attributed to lame ducking the previous coach?
Western Michigan just did it to Steve Hawkins. Was it the right call? I have no idea. But it didn't hurt them that bad in recruiting - they got Josiah Freeman over us.
Georgia Southern did it to Mark Byington (now at JMU, I'm sure they wanted to extend so this is not exactly a Paulsen situation). GS still got Cam Bryant though, once linked to Mason (never offered though as far as I know).
FSU did it to Leonard Hamilton. Not apples to apples here, for sure. They won the ACC, and FSU would love to have him locked up long term as well. Point is, lame duck seasons can happen without destroying recruiting.
Still, all of that is totally irrelevant in these unprecedented times. The only reason I'm predicting a lame duck year is because I am assuming there won't be a season. Or if there is a season, it will be significantly affected by the pandemic and will not be useful in changing the evaluation on Paulsen.
Again, if there is a normal season and Paulsen does his average (16-16, 8-10) then move on.