I have the exact opposite take. Villanova is in the Big East and since they don't have football in the conference, the Big East is slated to become the premier basketball conference under revenue share. Villanova does have an FBS team (they have FCS in CAA), so they, presumably, will not dump nearly as much into their football. UVA has FBS football and will have to dump a ton of resources in that to keep it relevant. If they didn't why would they even be in consideration for the SEC?
On the Jay Wright, before and after, while true, I don't see that as relevant given the sea change with revenue share. It will be more about resources (revenue share and NIL) and I think Villanova is much better positioned than UVA with that in mind.