A10 Conference Play Tracker

Petey Buckets

Starter
⭐️ Donor ⭐️
Best case scenario has been playing out with SBU tearing it up!

Here is what we need now for 3 teams - URI is in. Done deal. If SBU wins out till semi's, then they should be good too, and then either URI or SBU can withstand a loss in the semi's. Whichever team pulls off the upset in the semis' would then need to win the final as well to steal a 3rd spot.

Since a 3rd team getting the autobid would require URI and SBU losing, ideal scenario would be for the 4 or 5 seed to knock off URI in semi's and SBU in finals.

Totally agree with your assessment, and it's fun to think about, as unlikely as it is. If Davidson catches fire from 3 during the tournament then watch out.

Thing I want to mention: it's very possible that URI is seeded way, way below where you might guess based on their #18 overall ranking. I'm no bracketologist but the people I follow who seem to know what they're talking about keep pointing out a few things:

A) Rankings mean nothing for tournament seeding. Your rank is a projection of how good national media thinks you are, while your seed is theoretically a more objective assessment of your season-long achievements.

B) Rhode Island's signature wins against Seton Hall and Providence are rapidly losing their shine.

C) The A10 is garbage and historically, teams that dominate bad conferences don't get seeded very high.

I think most people are guessing a 4-6 seed but 7-9 seems just as likely.
 
OP
L

Leesburg Chankenstank III

All-American
⭐️ Donor ⭐️
Totally agree with your assessment, and it's fun to think about, as unlikely as it is. If Davidson catches fire from 3 during the tournament then watch out.

Thing I want to mention: it's very possible that URI is seeded way, way below where you might guess based on their #18 overall ranking. I'm no bracketologist but the people I follow who seem to know what they're talking about keep pointing out a few things:

A) Rankings mean nothing for tournament seeding. Your rank is a projection of how good national media thinks you are, while your seed is theoretically a more objective assessment of your season-long achievements.

B) Rhode Island's signature wins against Seton Hall and Providence are rapidly losing their shine.

C) The A10 is garbage and historically, teams that dominate bad conferences don't get seeded very high.

I think most people are guessing a 4-6 seed but 7-9 seems just as likely.

Lunardi currently has URI as a 5 seed and the Bonnies as an 11 seed
 

Petey Buckets

Starter
⭐️ Donor ⭐️
Lunardi currently has URI as a 5 seed and the Bonnies as an 11 seed

With all due respect to Joey Brackets, his projections at this point in the season can be pretty far off. I've always thought that he clearly has sources on the committee since he changes his projections last minute to nail who's in and who's out, and that's where he gets most of his credibility from. Before conference tournaments even start he's basically throwing shit at the wall.
 

GMUSig03

All-Conference
With all due respect to Joey Brackets, his projections at this point in the season can be pretty far off. I've always thought that he clearly has sources on the committee since he changes his projections last minute to nail who's in and who's out, and that's where he gets most of his credibility from. Before conference tournaments even start he's basically throwing shit at the wall.

Spot on - this is exactly what happened in 2006 with us. Not in bracket, not in bracket, minutes before selection show - whamo!
 

GMUgemini

Hall of Famer
⭐️ Donor ⭐️
Best case scenario has been playing out with SBU tearing it up!

Here is what we need now for 3 teams - URI is in. Done deal. If SBU wins out till semi's, then they should be good too, and then either URI or SBU can withstand a loss in the semi's. Whichever team pulls off the upset in the semis' would then need to win the final as well to steal a 3rd spot.

Since a 3rd team getting the autobid would require URI and SBU losing, ideal scenario would be for the 4 or 5 seed to knock off URI in semi's and SBU in finals.

I think SBU needs to make the finals to be in. I think if SBU loses to Davidson in the final, then all three teams will get in. But this scenario would require Davidson to fall to the fourth seed, and I don't see that happening.

Maybe SBU can lose to Davidson in the semifinals and be fine, provided Davidson doesn't screw up along the way and tank their own RPI. Davidson is now a top 100 RPI team.

The bonus is we don't have a single team sitting in the 300s (which has been the case with Duquense and Fordham in the past).
 

Patriotsince81

Hall of Famer
⭐️ Donor ⭐️
GOLD SPONSOR
Best case scenario has been playing out with SBU tearing it up!

Here is what we need now for 3 teams - URI is in. Done deal. If SBU wins out till semi's, then they should be good too, and then either URI or SBU can withstand a loss in the semi's. Whichever team pulls off the upset in the semis' would then need to win the final as well to steal a 3rd spot.

Since a 3rd team getting the autobid would require URI and SBU losing, ideal scenario would be for the 4 or 5 seed to knock off URI in semi's and SBU in finals.
ANYONE BUT vcu. Screw them.
 

sleeperpick

Hall of Famer
⭐️ Donor ⭐️
Totally agree with your assessment, and it's fun to think about, as unlikely as it is. If Davidson catches fire from 3 during the tournament then watch out.

Thing I want to mention: it's very possible that URI is seeded way, way below where you might guess based on their #18 overall ranking. I'm no bracketologist but the people I follow who seem to know what they're talking about keep pointing out a few things:

A) Rankings mean nothing for tournament seeding. Your rank is a projection of how good national media thinks you are, while your seed is theoretically a more objective assessment of your season-long achievements.

B) Rhode Island's signature wins against Seton Hall and Providence are rapidly losing their shine.

C) The A10 is garbage and historically, teams that dominate bad conferences don't get seeded very high.

I think most people are guessing a 4-6 seed but 7-9 seems just as likely.
Providence has beaten two top 5 teams (at the time they played them) only bad loss is Depaul
Seton Hall has 3 top 25 wins while battling injuries. They do need to improve.

The Providence loss is not rapidly losing its shine is my only point. They beat Villanova last week lol.. if anything it is getting better for URI
 

psyclone

Hall of Famer
URI with a 3 pt lead, fouls LaSalle in backcourt. LaSalle makes the first, misses the second intentionally, and puts the rebound back in. Going to overtime.
 
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