2023-2024 At Large Resume watch

[GMUgemini]

NET ranking went up from 74 to 66

Keeping winning and we’ll get a Feinstein vote!

We are relevant again.

 

[Verdad]

OP updated for last night's results, UMass added to the list

 

[undertherock]

Charlotte beat #17 ranked FAU. All of a sudden that loss doesn't look as bad

 

[undertherock]

NET ranking went up from 74 to 66

Currently at 58 now. All this means nothing though if we lose to vcu at home

 

[mkaufman1]

Hello friends

 

[psyclone]

Not to throw cold (or at least lukewarm) water on celebrating yet another upward movement, but Kenpom has our Conference strength of schedule so far as the easiest of the 15 teams.

We can only play the teams in front of us, but we can't rest on our laurels.

 

[Leesburg Chankenstank III]

We can only play the teams in front of us, but we can't rest on our laurels.

Yes we can. We don’t need to try hard at all the rest of the year. Teams will just see our Net ranking and get so intimidated that they will not get in our way. Which is a smart strategy iif they know what’s good for them.

 

[GMUgemini]

Not to throw cold (or at least lukewarm) water on celebrating yet another upward movement, but Kenpom has our Conference strength of schedule so far as the easiest of the 15 teams.

We can only play the teams in front of us, but we can't rest on our laurels.

Yes. Our schedule is very favorable. It means our margin of error is razor thin.

But you have to admit, however remote the possibility, it feels pretty cool to talk about it at this point in the season as a legitimate chance.

 

[psyclone]

Yes. Our schedule is very favorable. It means our margin of error is razor thin.

But you have to admit, however remote the possibility, it feels pretty cool to talk about it at this point in the season as a legitimate chance.

Indeed, I willingly admit to being pleased that we continue to pass tests on a regular basis. Hope we can keep it up! Just trying to prepare myself for moderating expectations.

 

[GMU79]

Indeed, I willingly admit to being pleased that we continue to pass tests on a regular basis. Hope we can keep it up! Just trying to prepare myself for moderating expectations.

Me too.

 

[Verdad]

1/8 update:
More dust has settled and UMass has solidly taken Duquesne's place in top 5. Due to sheer laziness I'll leave Duquesne on the list and keep it a top 6 - but starting 0-2 with the losses they have has probably dropped them out of being able to get into at large picture with a stellar conference record, but they can still serve as a good win for other teams. Their next 3 are Dayton, Richmond and @ SJU - yikes.

We remain in surthrival (thought I just invented that, but googled it before I made the claim and nope ) mode until potential huge showdown with SBU at home on 1/20.

Bracketology:
Lunardi/ESPN - Dayton up to an 8 (from 9) seed as of 1/5 update (no other teams listed)

Team (Net Rankings / Conference Record)
Dayton (20 / 2-0)
Wins: St. John's (33), SMU (43), Cincy (24), LSU (97), Longwood (118), UMass (77)
Bad Losses: NONE

Mason (58 / 2-0)
Wins: Cornell (89), Toledo (145), Tulane (115)
Bad Losses: Charlotte (104)

St. Joe's (61 / 0-1)
Wins: Nova (34), Princeton (27)
Bad Losses: Texas A&M Commerce (301), Charleston (99), URI (215)

SBU (64 / 1-1)
Wins: Longwood (122), Ok. St. (126), Akron (88), vcu (114)
Bad Losses: Canisius (151), Richmond (93)

UMass (77 / 1-1)
Wins: UMass-Lowell (109), WVU (167), Duquesne (90)
Bad Losses: GT (124), Harvard (160), Towson (181)

Duquesne (90 / 0-2)
Wins: UC Irvine (76), Charleston (99), Bradley (96)
Bad Losses: Santa Clara (103), Lo-Chi (139)

Net Standings (Atlantic10 - 8th)
20 - Dayton
58 - Mason
61 - SJU
64 - SBU
77 - UMass
90 - Duquesne
93- Richmond
114- vcu
125 - Davidson
139 - Lo-Chi
155- GW
200 - LaSalle
212- Fordham
215 - URI
236 - SLU

Top6 v Top6 Conference game:
1/12/24: Dayton @ Duquesne
1/20/24: SBU @ Mason
1/20/24: Duquesne @ SJU
1/23/24: SBU @ Duquesne
1/23/24: SJU @ UMass
1/26/24: SJU @ SBU
1/31/24: Mason @ SJU (ROAD TRIP!)
2/2/24: SBU @ Dayton
2/3/24: Mason @ UMass
2/6/24: DAYTON @ SJU
2/7/24: SBU v UMass
2/10/24: Duquesne @ SBU
2/13/24: Duquesne @ Dayton
2/17/24: SJU @ Duquesne
2/21/24: Dayton @ Mason
2/24/24: SBU @ UMass
3/2/24: Duquesne @ Mason

Op updated

 

[GMU79]

Op updated

Charlotte may end up not being a (too) bad loss.

 

[Verdad]

1/10 update:
The dream is over - no undefeated conference record. Net dropped a bit with loss to vcu at home, but this is probably one of the 5 games we all knew would be the toughest on our conference schedule.

Forget about it (until we see them in Brooklyn) and move on with slightly tempered expectations going forward. A win @ Richmond would offset the vcu loss in a big way and would be our best win of the year - if we can win the next two we will set up another huge home game vs SBU on 1/20.

Bracketology:
Lunardi/ESPN - Dayton up to a 6 (from 8) seed as of 1/9 update (no other teams listed)
Bracketmatrix - Dayton a 6 seed

Team (Net Rankings / Conference Record)
Dayton (22 / 2-0) #26 AP/#29 Coaches
Wins: St. John's (33), SMU (43), Cincy (24), LSU (97), Longwood (118), UMass (77)
Bad Losses: NONE

St. Joe's (59 / 0-1)
Wins: Nova (34), Princeton (27)
Bad Losses: Texas A&M Commerce (301), Charleston (99), URI (215)

SBU (60 / 1-1)
Wins: Longwood (122), Ok. St. (126), Akron (88), vcu (114)
Bad Losses: Canisius (151), Richmond (93)

Mason (71 / 2-1)
Wins: Cornell (87), @Toledo (133), @Tulane (117)
Bad Losses: Charlotte (108), vcu (100)

UMass (80 / 1-1)
Wins: UMass-Lowell (109), WVU (167), Duquesne (90)
Bad Losses: GT (124), Harvard (160), Towson (181)

Duquesne (90 / 0-2) (only staying on list for now because they have 3 huge games coming up)
Wins: UC Irvine (76), Charleston (99), Bradley (96)
Bad Losses: Santa Clara (103), Lo-Chi (139)

Net Standings (Atlantic10 - 8th)
22 - Dayton
59 - SJU
60- SBU
71 - Mason
80 - UMass
89- Richmond
90 - Duquesne
100- vcu
139 - Lo-Chi
140 - Davidson
153- GW
187 - URI
198 - LaSalle
212- Fordham
240 - SLU

Top6 v Top6 Conference game:
1/12/24: Dayton @ Duquesne
1/20/24: SBU @ Mason
1/20/24: Duquesne @ SJU
1/23/24: SBU @ Duquesne
1/23/24: SJU @ UMass
1/26/24: SJU @ SBU
1/31/24: Mason @ SJU (ROAD TRIP!)
2/2/24: SBU @ Dayton
2/3/24: Mason @ UMass
2/6/24: DAYTON @ SJU
2/7/24: SBU v UMass
2/10/24: Duquesne @ SBU
2/13/24: Duquesne @ Dayton
2/17/24: SJU @ Duquesne
2/21/24: Dayton @ Mason
2/24/24: SBU @ UMass
3/2/24: Duquesne @ Mason

Updated

 

[Verdad]

OP updated for the last time

 

[mkaufman1]

RIP at large resume thread

 

[GMU79]

RIP at large resume thread

Alas.

 

[GMUgemini]

RIP at large resume thread

I think that’s unfortunately true for the entire conference sans Dayton. We all let the conference down once league play started.