Yes, for the two reasons stated above? Does Sa'eed Nelson get 24 points, pretty much all in the paint (0-1 from 3), if we run pack line and have Calixte instead of Reuter starting in the middle? Does Sam Iorio get a double-double? Probably no to both of those. I'll lay those early season losses on Paulsen, but he adjusted and he's also responsible for the 7-1 start to conference play and a near upset of Kansas State.
It probably also didn't help that Goanar Mar was just utterly flat to start the season. He had 0 points, 0 rebounds, 0 assists, and 1 foul in 15 minutes against American. That's just trash. It doubly didn't help that Grayer's lateral quickness was diminished because of his lingering foot issue, so he couldn't keep guards out of the paint to save his life, but we needed his shooting early on and had to play him more (Otis also came out shooting blanks early in the season).
Now, we're going through a difficult stretch having lost a bunch of players to injuries (this feels a lot like URI the few years before they finally got healthy and made their run to the NCAA tournament). They were picked several times as conference dark horse darlings before injuries destroyed their seasons.