Game 33: Atlantic 10 Tournament Semifinals- #2 GMU (25-7 / 15-3) vs #6 St. Joe’s (22-11 / 11-7) on Saturday, March 15, at

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George Mason Patriots (39%)

Not long after making their re-appearance on the bubble, the Patriots beat St. Joseph's on Saturday to advance to the A-10 title game. The win boosted the Patriots' odds of making the NCAA tourney from 25% to 39% in the ESPN forecast. Realistically, the Patriots remain a longshot for an at-large nod, however, as they have won only four games against BPI top-100 foes (none vs. the top 50) while suffering four losses to teams outside the top 100. With a résumé that sits outside the top 50 in WAB/SOR and is outside the top 70 in NET, George Mason still probably needs to upset vcu in the conference title game on Sunday to make the field of 68. (Updated March 15 at 6:04 p.m.)
Next game: Sunday vs. vcu, A-10 conference tournament championship, 1 p.m. CBS
 
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