The Bonnies are, according to Kenpom, in the middle of the pack in defending the 3 (pretty much the same as us in that regard) but a whole lot better than St. Joe's. So a repeat of the 3 pt barrage is especially unlikely.
Their big guy, Osunniyi, is 4th in the country in block %, so that may limit inside scoring as well. Perhaps more pull-up jumpers? They are also top 50 in creating turnovers.
On the other hand, on offense they are much weaker than St. Joe's, turning it over themselves (#282) and shooting poorly on 2 pt shots (#233).
Kenpom: Mason by 6
Sagarin: Mason by 5.2