Game 26: GMU (20-5 / 11-1) vs St. Joe’s (15-9 / 6-5) on Saturday, February 15, at 12:30 PM.

[Patriotsince81]

Preseason predictions:
St. Joe’s was picked to finish 3rd in A10 Preseason Polls. They are currently in a tie for 5th place.
Erik Reynolds II - 1st Team
Xzavier Brown - 2nd Team
Rasheer Fleming - 3rd Team

The game is on USA.

KenPom: Gives us a 67% chance of winning.
GMU - 69
St. Joe’s - 84
NET:
GMU - 63
St. Joe’s - 85

We are 10-8 (.556) against St. Joe’s all-time.

St, Joe’s is currently 15-9 on the season and 6-5 in A10 play. They are 10-4 at home, 2-4 on the road, and 3-1 at neutral sites. The Hawks ar 1-1 against Quad 1 teams, 2-3 vs Quad 2, 3-4 against Quad 3, and 8-1 against Quad 4 teams.

Schedule: https://sjuhawks.com/sports/mens-basketball/schedule

Wins: Navy (70-63), Villanova (83-76), Penn (86-69), #24 Texas Tech (78-77), Coppin St. (83-54), La Salle (82-68), American (84-57), Va Tech (82-62), Delaware St. (76-58), UMass (81-72), Loyola Chicago (93-57), Davidson (78-61), Duquesne (76-72), St. Louis (76-63), La Salle (75-63)
Losses: Central Connecticut St. (73-67), Texas (67-58), Princeton (77-69), College of Charleston (78-75), St. Louis (73-57), Duquesne (85-81 OT), vcu (78-69), Dayton (77-72), Loyola Chicago (58-55),

Probable Starters:
6’2” Erik Reynolds II - 16.3 ppg - Senior
6’2” Xzayvier Brown - 16.3 ppg & 5.0 reb - Sophomore
6’9” Rasher Fleming - 15.3 ppg & 9.1 reb - Junior
6’3” Derek Simpson - 9.8 ppg & 4.5 reb - Junior
6’10” Justice Ajogbor - 5.2 ppg - Grad Student

Reserves averaging double figure minutes:
6’8” Dasear Haskins - 6.4 ppg - Freshman
6’7” Anthony Finkley - 5.4 ppg - Sophomore

Roster: https://sjuhawks.com/sports/mens-basketball/roster

Team Stats:

St. Joe’s averages 75.3 points per game (5th in the A10) while giving up 68.5 (6th in the A10).

The Hawks shoot 44.2% from the floor (10th in the A10) and 33.4% from 3 (9th in the A10).
Opponents are shooting 41.3% from the field and 31.9% from 3.

The Hawks shoot 75.4% from the free throw line (2nd in the A10).

They have out rebounded opponents by 3.4 boards per game and average 11.8 turnovers per contest.

Stats: https://sjuhawks.com/sports/mens-basketball/stats/2024-25?path=mbball

Thoughts: We are presented with yet another 3 headed monster in Reynolds II, Brown, and Fleming. They only go 7 deep which works to our advantage though.

Discuss.

 

[GMUgemini]

It’s a big game away from Philly, so we have to be prepared for Reynolds to drop 27-30 on us for no reason.

If he has that kind of game, can we limit Brown and Fleming enough to compensate? And can we avoid any late game shenanigans to keep them comfortably in our rear view mirror?

I like our chances against an undisciplined, but talented team, especially at home.

I better see at least 5k there, by the way.

 

[DRK331]

Free shirts will be given out before the game

Post game Autographs

Free Chick Fil A for the first 300 students

 

[GunstonsGhost]

Free shirts will be given out before the game

I will update this post when I get more info

And autographs after the game I believe.

 

[Falco]

This game scares me.

 

[JC_FoodcourtBandit]

Worried about this game being a trap game. SJU always plays us hard. But more importantly coming off of a huge road win, with our biggest game of the season next, this is a prime look ahead game.

Hope the players can stay focused on the task in front of them/SJU and not next Wednesday

 

[GunstonsGhost]

Worried about this game being a trap game. SJU always plays us hard. But more importantly coming off of a huge road win, with our biggest game of the season next, this is a prime look ahead game.

Hope the players can stay focused on the task in front of them/SJU and not next Wednesday

We have a week off till the vcu game the following Saturday.

 

[NewPatriot]

We have a week off till the vcu game the following Saturday.

This..Mason has not played well coming off extended breaks this season.

 

[PDGL Hoops]

Just win.

 

[Bsutterl]

I think the week separating this game from vcu helps us not look forward. Its not a 2-3 day turn around so I don't think this will be a trap game in the traditional sense but when good players get hot they're tough to beat. Our defense should keep them plenty disjointed, though

 

[DRK331]

Saturday's game against St. Joe's is a Blackout!

Everyone wear Black!

Check out @MasonMBB's Instagram story

 

[Earl the Squirrel]

It’s a big game away from Philly, so we have to be prepared for Reynolds to drop 27-30 on us for no reason.

If he has that kind of game, can we limit Brown and Fleming enough to compensate? And can we avoid any late game shenanigans to keep them comfortably in our rear view mirror?

I like our chances against an undisciplined, but talented team, especially at home.

I better see at least 5k there, by the way.

Reynolds is a curious case. He's played better of late, but has been real inconsistent this year. You don't know what your're going to get from him from game-to-game.

I was much more concerned about him last year, but he's a shell of his former self.

He made a nice jump between his freshman and sophmore years, but then leveled off his junior year. The fact he didn't improve his numbers is telling, because this year he has kinda fallen apart.

Look at his numbers: https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/player/stats/_/id/4683952/erik-reynolds-ii

He's under 40% from the field and shooting just 29% from 3 - a huge drop from where's he's been at over the past couple of years. The one thing I've noticed about his game is he's incorporated a NBA distance step-back three, which he shoots with regularity (NBA scouts likely told him, "You have to be able to show us you have this shot.")

X. Brown has also regressed - hitting 32% of his threes, whereas he was at 40% last year.

Fleming, on the other hand, is a stud, who does everything for this team, and looks to be a late 1st or 2nd round draft pick.

It's possible Brown, Flemming, Reynolds, Simpson, and Finklay all catch fire at the same time - like they did against Loyola - hitting something like 22 threes, but they hadn't shot like that in 20+ years and they're not going to repeat that performance against us.

Haynes should eat Ajogbor alive and I think our guards are going to make things tough enough on Brown and Reynolds that we win. That's the hope!

 

[MasonSAE4]

He's under 40% from the field and shooting just 29% from 3 - a huge drop from where's he's been at over the past couple of years.

Lol we all know what that means...

 

[NewPatriot]

Lol we all know what that means...

It's the kiss of death!!! Lol

 

[GMU79]

It's the kiss of death!!! Lol

Yep, we're completely jinxed. Absolutely no way we win this game. No point in even playing it.

 

[MasonSAE4]

Yep, we're completely jinxed. Absolutely no way we win this game. No point in even playing it.

I mean, the dark years have been characterized by random dudes going off on us for like 60% from 3. Doesn't mean their team wins but man do we have the right to be weary of a slumping guy catching fire against us.

 

[Pikapppatri8]

This is a must win - home game right before the vcu game. We must hold court and extend this win streak. A win on the 15th should cement our position going into the A-10 tourney.

 

[FlPatriot]

I mean, the dark years have been characterized by random dudes going off on us for like 60% from 3. Doesn't mean their team wins but man do we have the right to be weary of a slumping guy catching fire against us.

SLU is thinking the same thing…it happens.

 

[Pablo]

Fleming, on the other hand, is a stud, who does everything for this team, and looks to be a late 1st or 2nd round draft pick.

2025 NBA Mock Draft - NBA Draft Room

Cooper Flagg, Dylan Harper and Ace Bailey are locked in as the projected top picks in the 2025 NBA Mock Draft

nbadraftroom.com

1-2	Team	Player	Updated 2/12/25 – Latest News and Developments	Comp.

20 Nets (Bucks) Rasheer Fleming C – St. Josephs – HT: 6-9 – WT: 240 – WING:
NA – Jr – A burly, strong and intense PF/C who impacts both ends and can hit the 3pt shot.
His breakout junior season has boosted his stock into first round territory.

Antonio Davis

 

[psyclone]

2025 NBA Mock Draft - NBA Draft Room

Cooper Flagg, Dylan Harper and Ace Bailey are locked in as the projected top picks in the 2025 NBA Mock Draft

nbadraftroom.com

1-2	Team	Player	Updated 2/12/25 – Latest News and Developments	Comp.

20 Nets (Bucks) Rasheer Fleming C – St. Josephs – HT: 6-9 – WT: 240 – WING:
NA – Jr – A burly, strong and intense PF/C who impacts both ends and can hit the 3pt shot.
His breakout junior season has boosted his stock into first round territory.

Antonio Davis

Lot of pro scouts at the st Joe's game I saw according to tv announcers