2 Games left in the Regular Season - Where we stand

jessej

All-Conference
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GIVING DAY 2023
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1A) Mason has 2 games remaining - Home vs LaSalle and @ Richmond
1B) vcu also has 2 games remaining - @ Duquesne and home vs Dayton,
at worst Mason finishes in 2nd place in the conference regular season

2) the real action is in the 4 teams tied for 3rd place battling it out to see who get seeds 3 and 4, and the pass into the quarterfinals of the A-10 Tourney

3) For Mason to outright win the regular season crown
Mason wins both, vcu loses both

4) tie/share Regular Season Crown (but vcu is the #1 A-10 Tourney Seed)
Mason wins both
vcu loses 1 of 2
both finish 15-3

Mason Wins 1 of 2
vcu loses both
both finish 14-4
 

GMUYoda

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I guess this can go here for now... will repost in the a10 tournament thread when it's made


Atlantic 10 (A-10)

Average seed of champion: 3.5 (T-4th highest)
Average combined seed of finalists: 6.0 (15th highest)

If it feels like this tourney is among the toughest to handicap each year, you're right. That's easy to say after the top four seeds each lost in the quarterfinals last year, setting the stage for eventual bid stealer, Duquesne.

Interestingly, the No. 6 seed has won three of the past five A-10 tourney titles, and a team seeded third or worse has won eight of the past 10.

Meanwhile, life as a No. 2 seed has been rather heartbreaking. No. 2s have reached the title game in seven of the past 11 tournaments, with no titles to show for it. The last 2-seed to win was Temple in 2008.

There have been eight straight A-10 tournaments without a repeat winner, the longest current streak, just ahead of the NEC (seven), Conference USA (seven) and the Southern Conference (six). And it wouldn't take a miracle to get another new winner this year, as three of the top four seeds (as of this writing) haven't won in this span: George Mason, Loyola Chicago and Dayton.
 

mkaufman1

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Staff member
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GIVING DAY 2023
I guess this can go here for now... will repost in the a10 tournament thread when it's made


Atlantic 10 (A-10)

Average seed of champion: 3.5 (T-4th highest)
Average combined seed of finalists: 6.0 (15th highest)

If it feels like this tourney is among the toughest to handicap each year, you're right. That's easy to say after the top four seeds each lost in the quarterfinals last year, setting the stage for eventual bid stealer, Duquesne.

Interestingly, the No. 6 seed has won three of the past five A-10 tourney titles, and a team seeded third or worse has won eight of the past 10.

Meanwhile, life as a No. 2 seed has been rather heartbreaking. No. 2s have reached the title game in seven of the past 11 tournaments, with no titles to show for it. The last 2-seed to win was Temple in 2008.

There have been eight straight A-10 tournaments without a repeat winner, the longest current streak, just ahead of the NEC (seven), Conference USA (seven) and the Southern Conference (six). And it wouldn't take a miracle to get another new winner this year, as three of the top four seeds (as of this writing) haven't won in this span: George Mason, Loyola Chicago and Dayton.
While it has no impact on what happens this year, just for sake of "what was last time we won the AQ"

Mason was a 3 seed in 2008, tied with UNCW at 12-6. They ended up beating UNCW in the semis in the 2/3 game.

This is obviously the highest seed Mason has been while in the A10 and the best chance to date for Mason to make the semifinals and beyond. These would be two critical bars to clear that many of us have been asking for, for years. In addition, Mason could finish as high as 15-3, or as low as 13-5, which would also be the best record Mason has had in the A10 (beating out 11-7).
 
OP
jessej

jessej

All-Conference
⭐️ Donor ⭐️
GIVING DAY 2023
Tonight
vcu, Dayton Win
Duquesne and St. Louis lose

1) Dayton a bit closer to a 3 or 4 seed
2) St. Louis may not make the top 4 without St. Joe and Loyola-Chicago losing
3) vcu clinches at least a tie for Conference Regular Season Title, and clinches the Tourney #1 seed
4) GMU needs 2 wins and a vcu loss to claim a share of the Regular Season Crown
5) GMU locked in as the #2 seed

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5 games tomorrow
with only the Mason and Loyola-Chicago games having any importance
as everyone else is just playing out the string

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